Despite the factors working against the Sudanese protesters, there is a real hope that their primary goals can prevail.

Ein Beitrag von Nicholas Gjorvad, Open Democracy |  01.02.2019

The legacy of the 2011 Arab uprisings’ initial successes may give hope that continued protests and demonstrations can bring about real political change. However, while this hope may be inspiring to those taking part in these protests, another legacy of these uprisings may also be hindering those who wish to see tangible political and economic changes in Sudan. In reality, there are at least three factors that are working against the protesters that stem from regional changes resulting from the Arab uprisings.

Neben der harten Repression wird die Unterstützung des Regimes durch die benachbarten Regionalmächte genannt so wie das Interessen der Großmächte an der regionalen Stabilität.

The threat of regional instability in North Africa and the Horn of Africa, the desire to stem migration to Europe, and the overall fear of repeating rather chaotic political changes and transitions in countries that were involved in the Arab uprisings appear to be strong factors that have led to a lack of international support for the demonstrations in Sudan. This issue goes beyond Europe and also involves other world powers. For instance, the promotion of democracy around the world does not appear to be of great concern in President Trump’s foreign policy and little can be expected of the United States in this regard. Moreover, China and Russia also have interests in Sudan and clearly do not wish to see political instability there nor would be interested in seeing grassroots political action lead to political change.

Trotzdem, schließt der Beitrag:

The developing situation in Sudan will be instructive concerning the future of protests and political change in the Middle East and the North African region especially concerning the strong currents working against democratic change in the region. The protesters in Sudan have shown resiliency and may demonstrate that even with these challenges, real political change in the Arab speaking world may still be possible.

„The Sudanese protests and the legacy of the Arab uprisings“